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How to Buy
Gold
So What's driving this latest rise in Gold?
It’s a chronic imbalance between demand and supply:
Gold demand:
- Political
and economic tensions boosted the appeal of gold as a safe-haven
investment. Investment demand grew 36% in tonnage terms, driven by
strong growth in India, Turkey and Vietnam.
- Jewelry
demand hit a record annual rate of $38 billion in the past year
— 24% higher than last year. When you drill down, you see the
numbers are even greater in some regions: Gold jewelry demand in India
rose 42% in the second quarter, while Taiwan's gold jewelry boom pushed
sales up by 27%.
- Industrial
and dental demand grew by 13% to 112 metric tons in the second quarter,
with the Unites States and South Korea driving those markets.
Gold supply:
- Supply
fell short by 152 tonnes last year, according to GFMS. Indeed, so far
this year, the overall supply of gold is up about 8%, but demand is up
even more — 21% in the first half of the year.
- Clearly,
this is not an imbalance that’s about to correct itself in
the near future. So expect the rise in gold and gold shares to
continue, or even accelerate.
Your Investment Routes into Gold
You have the following ways to Invest in Gold and other precious Metals:
- Metal or Mining Shares - if you
invest in shares of mining companies you will need to choose which
ones: South African, American, Canadian or Australian
- Directly in Gold or Silver Bullion
- Futures - in which you take an option on the future movement of prices without taking actual delivery of the physical metal.
- Commodity And Metals Funds - Trusts that invest specifically in Gold and other precious metals
There are numerous
ways. But let’s start with the most basic form: Physical gold bullion.
Gold bullion coins
Best examples: The
American Eagle, Canadian Maple Leaf, and South African Krugerrand.
Coins
struck after 1850 were used as legal tender during the time of the gold
standard. They are traded in bulk in a highly liquid interdealer market
offering you easy entry and exit at any time. The value of these coins
depends upon:
- a premium related to the supply of coins
and their popularity. In general terms the premium is at least 5% over
gold, typically in the 15-17% range.
Always use a reputable Coin Dealer or check coins you are considering buying privately first with a reputable Dealer.
A
spectacular boom in the
popularity of current coins in the 1970's and 1980's and the premium
over bullion prices which they commanded made the resumed production of
precious metal coins by Central Banks an attractive proposition. This
development was led initially by the South African Krugerrand and the
Canadian Maple Leaf.
You may invest in gold bullion direct via bullion coins for a
reasonable premium - less than the typical initial charge of 5-6 per
cent charged by Investment Funds.
Commemorative Coins, medallions and medals
These are issued either by State agents or
by private manufacturers. They carry no face value and they have never
been legal tender. For many years you've been able to buy such medals
to commemorate and help finance major events - for example, the Olympic
Games, an important national occasion, anniversaries of independence
and the like.
In
more recent times this practice has been subject to considerable
abuse. Each New Year issues are marketed to celebrate almost every
conceivable event. Often promoted by mail order with extremely high
premiums to their metal content, these issues have little to commend
them. Extra value may occasionally be justified on the grounds of:
- Artistic Merit
- The design of a recognised, reputable artist
- Genuinely limited edition
In time such a coin may become valuable justifying the high premium,
but its one for the collectors, not investors. Avoid purchases of such
issues, unless they have special sentimental appeal for you. A limited
edition may not be all it appears to be. Special artistic merit won't
interest a bullion dealer nor justify a hefty premium over metal. In a
few cases, artistic factors and scarcity do make commemorative issues
highly valuable but this is the exception rather than the rule so
exercise caution.
Gold ingots and bars
Ingots are
generally 1 ounce, but can be found in 2- or 3-ounce slabs as well. Bars
generally come in sizes of 5 to 10 ounces, with the 10-ounce form more readily
available.
Either way, you
can get significantly more gold for your money every time you buy simply by
buying smart!
For example, at
today’s price of $473 per ounce, 100 ounces of gold are worth $47,300. But if
you buy 100 of the 1-ounce gold Canadian Maple Leafs, you’ll pay $49,676 for the
same 100 ounces of gold content.
The additional
$2,376 you pay for the Maple Leafs is the premium over the gold content. It’s
the extra you pay essentially for the design and minting of the coin. And in
this example, the premium is a hefty 5% ($2,376 in premium vs. $47,300 in gold
content).
That’s actually not
as bad as it seems, especially when compared to some other gold bullion
investments. But you CAN do better.
Here’s how: Instead
of buying 100 of the 1-ounce Maple Leafs, buy TEN 10-ounce gold BARS (total 100
ounces) for $48,510.
Then, with the
money you’ve saved on the bars plus a few extra bucks, you can buy three 1-ounce
gold bars for $1,455.
The extra gold you
get by buying smart is a significant addition to your portfolio — like a free
bonus.
That’s why I am one
of the few who does not recommend buying gold bullion coins. They certainly can
be beautiful to look at, but you pay a stiff price for the privilege.
The premiums are
even worse for fractional gold bullion coins of less than 1 ounce, selling for a
premium of as much as 35% over the price of gold. In general, the smaller the
coin, the greater the premium.
Bottom line: For
physical gold holdings, I recommend 1-ounce ingots and 10-ounce bars. And for
even larger purchases, consider the internationally-traded 1-kilogram bars.
They’re all
relatively easy to buy, and easy to store. Just make sure you are buying what is
called “four nines fine” gold — the metal that’s .9999 (99.99%) pure gold.
The most common
hallmarks are Johnson Matthey, Engelhard, Credit Suisse and Pamp. Most reputable
dealers carry these ingots and bars in these hallmarks, or can readily acquire
them for you.
How to Store
Your Gold
For small
purchases, say up to 20 or 30 ounces, I prefer the safety deposit box at my
bank. It’s simple, safe and worry free. Even if the bank were to encounter
financial difficulties, access to the safety deposit would not be affected. I do
not recommend storing any gold in your home or office.
For purchases
beyond 20 or 30 ounces, use your dealer’s storage facility. But there are a few
things you need to know&
Non-fungible
storage is the best form of dealer storage — if you choose to leave your
metal with a dealer.
Your bullion or bag
of coins is labeled with your name as your specific property and stored
separately from dealer assets. With non-fungible storage, your gold is not
commingled with the bullion of others. And I feel it’s the only type of dealer
storage you can be fully comfortable with.
If your dealer
doesn’t offer non-fungible storage, find one who does.
Alternatives to
Physical Gold
Always keep some
physical gold handy. But for larger quantities, where storage is impractical,
there are a number of ways to invest in gold while avoiding some of the hassles
of storage and delivery:
Gold ETFs (exchange-traded gold funds)
Late last year, the
long-awaited StreetTracks Gold Shares (GLD) was finally introduced in United
States. This NYSE exchange-traded fund effectively offers investors physical
gold in the format of an electronically-traded security, with each share
representing one tenth of an ounce of gold.
A second option is
the iShares Comex Gold Trust (IAU). And yet a third is the Central Fund of
Canada, Ltd (CEF). However, among the three, I prefer the StreetTracks Gold
Shares because of its greater liquidity.
Perth Mint Certificates (PMCs)
These are issued by
Western Australia’s government-owned mint showing ownership of a certain amount
of specified ounces of gold. Some advantages:
- The Perth
certificate comes with a government guarantee carrying a triple-A rating from
S&P.
- When buying,
specify you want “allocated” certificates, which is similar to the non-fungible
storage I described above.
- Your bullion is
insured against fraud and theft by Lloyd’s of London.
- There are no
storage fees.
- The certificates
are transferable.
- You can redeem
your certificates at the mint.
For quotes
and info, consider Kitco Bullion Dealers. You can get the latest on PMCs by visiting this page on
the Kitco web site and clicking on “Perth Mint Certificate” (in the middle of
the brown bar near the top of the page).
Gold Mining Shares Warning: Not All Are Created Equal!
Provided you pick
the right ones, gold mining shares not only give you an indirect vehicle for
investing in gold, they can also provide additional leverage and profit
potential that goes far beyond what you can achieve with gold alone.
For example, let’s
say it costs a mining company an average of $250 to produce each ounce of gold.
And let’s say we’re back in 2001 when an ounce of gold was selling for $260. At
that point, the company’s profit margin is just $10 per ounce.
Now, watch what
happens when the price of bullion rises just 4%, to $270 per ounce: The
company’s profit margin jumps from $10 to $20, or by 100%. This in, turn, can
drive up its share prices by many times more than the price of bullion. Therein
lies the leverage you can achieve by buying the right shares
Two words of
warning:
First,
timing is critical, and if you buy while gold shares are near a temporary peak,
you may initially be disappointed. Indeed, even right now, a further correction
in major gold shares like Newmont Mining is still possible.
Second, if
you own the wrong mining companies, you could be left behind when gold bullion
surges.
Some will be unable
to meet the gold demand, failing to capture a large portion of the profit
opportunity.
Others, mistakenly
fearing a decline in gold prices, will run substantial hedging
operations, seeking to protect themselves from the decline by selling gold in
the forward market or selling short gold futures. This could greatly reduce, or
even wipe out, their profits for the year.
So to avoid
disappointment, refer to my top six criteria for selecting what I believe to be
the best gold mining shares. None are hard-and-fast rules. But all are critical
factors to consider.
1. Low debt.
I generally like mining companies that have less than 50 cents in long-term debt
per dollar of stockholders’ equity.
2. Moderate
hedging. Stick with those that do not hedge more than 20% of their annual
production. After all, what’s the point of buying into a company’s bullion to
ride the bull market in gold when that same company has already sold most of its
gold or production at today’s low prices, or worse, at yesterday’s even lower
prices.
3. Low cost.
Try to stick with mining companies with total production costs no higher than
$200 per ounce. The lower the better. If it’s a bit higher, it’s not a deal
killer. But this is a good benchmark to work from.
4. Healthy
expansion. Companies that are expanding reserves via property acquisitions.
Since new exploration can be expensive, I favor companies that are actively
engaged in buying proven gold properties and smaller mines.
5. Experienced
management. I want to see management that demonstrates not only a solid
track record of experience, but also talent for thinking outside the box,
especially when it comes to the acquisition of hot properties.
6. Value:
Don’t go strictly by P/E ratios. Mining shares should also be valued on the
basis of their proven reserves. Generally, the lower the ratio of the company’s
market cap compared to the value of its reserves, the better.
For instance, a
company with a market cap of, say, $10 billion with gold reserves worth $2
billion at the current gold price ($5 per share for each dollar of gold
reserves) is much more expensive than a company with $4 billion in market cap
and $2 billion in reserves ($2 per share for each dollar of reserves).
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